Topic 2.22

Factors Affecting Food Supply & Impacts of Food Insecurity

Why some countries can't produce enough food, and the devastating consequences when they can't

6
Factors Affecting Supply
7
Impacts of Insecurity
828M
Undernourished (2023)
45%
Child Deaths Linked
Factors Affecting Food Supply

Why some countries can't produce enough food

Climate

Extreme temperatures, unreliable rainfall, tropical storms, climate change

Example: Sahel region: 400mm rainfall/year, frequent droughts. East Africa droughts (2011, 2017, 2022) = millions food insecure.

Technology

Lack of tractors, irrigation, fertilizers, storage facilities

Example: Ethiopia farmer: hand tools = 0.5 hectares/day. USA farmer: tractor = 50 hectares/day. Yields 1-2 tons vs 8-10 tons/hectare.

Pests & Disease

Locusts, crop blight, livestock diseases

Example: East Africa locust swarms (2020) = 'worst in 25 years', destroyed 200,000+ hectares crops.

Water Stress

Demand exceeds available supply, can't irrigate crops

Example: Yemen: severe water stress → agriculture declining, food imports rising (but can't afford).

Conflict

Farms abandoned, infrastructure destroyed, aid blocked

Example: South Sudan civil war: 7 million food insecure (60%), famine declared 2017.

Poverty

Can't afford seeds, fertilizers, tools; debt traps

Example: Malawi smallholders earn <$1/day, can't afford fertilizers → maize yields 1 ton/hectare (vs potential 5 tons).

Factors Impact Simulator

Click factors to see their cumulative effect on food production

Food Production Level100%
Food Insecurity Level:Low
Technology Comparison Calculator

Compare HIC farmer (USA) vs LIC farmer (Ethiopia) - adjust farm size

LIC Farmer (Ethiopia)

Hand tools, oxen plough

Days to complete:20 days
Yield per hectare:1.5 tons
Post-harvest loss:35%
Final yield:9.8 tons

HIC Farmer (USA)

Tractor, combine harvester

Days to complete:1 day(s)
Yield per hectare:9 tons
Post-harvest loss:5%
Final yield:85.5 tons
HIC farmer produces8.8xmore food

This technology gap explains why HICs have surplus while LICs struggle with food security

Conflict & Food Insecurity Map

Click conflict zones to see food insecurity data

World map showing conflict zones
Impacts of Food Insecurity

The devastating consequences when people can't access enough food

Famine

Widespread starvation, mass death

Example: Somalia 2011: 260,000 deaths (half children under 5). Caused by drought + conflict + poverty combined.

Undernutrition

Not enough calories/nutrients, stunted growth

Example: 828 million undernourished globally. 45% child deaths linked to undernutrition. Kwashiorkor (protein deficiency) common in LICs.

Soil Erosion

Desperate overcultivation, desertification

Example: Sahel region: overgrazing + drought = desertification advancing 5-10 km/year southward.

Rising Prices

Supply falls, costs spike, urban poor hardest hit

Example: 2007-2008 crisis: wheat/rice/maize doubled, 100+ million pushed into poverty/hunger.

Social Unrest

Food riots, political instability

Example: Arab Spring 2011: wheat prices doubled → Tunisia, Egypt, Libya uprisings, governments overthrown.

Migration

Environmental refugees flee hunger/drought

Example: Syrian refugees 6+ million (conflict + drought). Central America 'Dry Corridor' → migration to USA.

Resource Conflict

Fighting over water, land grabs

Example: Nile dam disputes. China/Saudi Arabia buy African farmland ('neo-colonialism'), locals displaced.

Impacts Cascade Explorer

Click an impact to see the chain reaction it triggers

Grade 8/9 Analysis: Impacts are interconnected in a vicious cycle. Soil erosion → lower yields → higher prices → social unrest → migration → conflict → MORE food insecurity. Breaking this cycle requires addressing multiple factors simultaneously.

Food Price Timeline (2000-2023)

Drag the slider to see price spikes and linked events

20002023
2022
Food Price Index190

Ukraine War Crisis

Global wheat/fertilizer prices spiked. Black Sea grain exports blocked.

Causes: Russia-Ukraine war (major grain exporters), fertilizer shortages

Crisis year
Normal year
The Vicious Cycle of Food Insecurity
Food Insecurity
Soil Erosion
Lower Yields
Higher Prices
Social Unrest
Migration
Conflict
MORE Food Insecurity

Grade 8/9: Breaking this cycle requires addressing multiple factors simultaneously - single interventions are insufficient.

Knowledge Check1/6

Which factor caused 200,000+ hectares of crop destruction in East Africa in 2020?

Worked Example6 marks

Explain how conflict can lead to food insecurity. Use an example in your answer. [6 marks]

Key Terms

Water Stress

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When demand for water exceeds available supply, preventing crop irrigation and causing low yields or crop failure.

Famine

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Widespread extreme shortage of food causing starvation and mass death. Usually caused by conflict + drought + poverty combined.

Undernutrition

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Not consuming enough calories - leads to hunger, weakness, stunted growth. 828 million people affected globally (2023).

Malnutrition

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Lack of specific nutrients (vitamins, protein) even if calorie intake is adequate. Kwashiorkor (protein deficiency) is an example.

Desertification

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Land becoming desert due to overgrazing, overcultivation, and drought. Sahel region losing farmland at 5-10km/year.

Post-harvest Loss

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Food lost after harvest due to pests, spoilage, lack of storage. 30-40% of LIC harvests lost this way.